Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.190812 0.217305 0.245750 0.278516 0.315169 0.354857 0.401035
2025-11-30 0.157002 0.192664 0.233517 0.283604 0.343178 0.411576 0.495854
2025-12-07 0.130257 0.170644 0.219586 0.282894 0.362207 0.457845 0.581410
2025-12-14 0.110356 0.153344 0.208126 0.282427 0.379846 0.502413 0.667348
2025-12-21 0.095202 0.139602 0.198829 0.282657 0.397110 0.546605 0.755072
2025-12-28 0.084577 0.130265 0.193789 0.287214 0.419461 0.598016 0.854918
2026-01-04 0.076684 0.123576 0.191300 0.294435 0.445263 0.655037 0.965377
2026-01-11 0.068750 0.115702 0.186015 0.296683 0.463559 0.702171 1.064409
2026-01-18 0.062951 0.110307 0.183644 0.302630 0.487137 0.757676 1.178079
2026-01-25 0.058386 0.106268 0.182788 0.310492 0.513707 0.818648 1.302733
2026-02-01 0.052579 0.099438 0.176726 0.309400 0.526012 0.858562 1.397670
2026-02-08 0.047495 0.093222 0.170971 0.308095 0.537514 0.897430 1.492567
2026-02-15 0.042759 0.087204 0.165175 0.306537 0.548995 0.937772 1.593565
2026-02-22 0.039888 0.084272 0.164398 0.313368 0.574693 1.002064 1.735973
2026-03-01 0.036308 0.079549 0.159944 0.313301 0.588538 1.047719 1.850583
2026-03-08 0.033122 0.075203 0.155719 0.313182 0.602092 1.093400 1.967371
2026-03-15 0.030355 0.071361 0.152036 0.313651 0.616533 1.141120 2.089749
2026-03-22 0.028405 0.068985 0.150925 0.318777 0.639563 1.204588 2.241836
2026-03-29 0.026934 0.067464 0.151333 0.326778 0.668269 1.279273 2.416721
2026-04-05 0.025038 0.064758 0.149068 0.329286 0.686715 1.336576 2.563717
2026-04-12 0.023685 0.063129 0.148862 0.335840 0.713179 1.409457 2.741589
2026-04-19 0.022615 0.062036 0.149676 0.344486 0.744139 1.491926 2.940302
2026-04-26 0.020826 0.058975 0.145927 0.343293 0.755523 1.538629 3.075819